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10.22.2003

Going Seven

The Laz, ever vigilant in his pursual of relevant posting material, forwards a link to an NY Times article that examines the statistical probability of a seven-game World Series. While the probability says a series should go seven 31 percent of the time, the Series has in fact gone the max in nearly half of the past 50 years.

Odder still, if one starts to factor in the real world, i.e., that World Series are played by unevenly matched teams, not by statistical coin flips, one would think the chance of a Series going the full seven would be even slimmer than statistically predicted.

But if one takes into consideration all World Series and league championship series with a potential for 7 games, the reality starts to drop toward the statistical norm. (The Times got the story from the American Institute of Physics.)

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